Contents
Predictions from The Way of Strategy (1994) and their outcomes
Saddam Hussein
Obsolescence of car dealers
The One-Second Television Ad: "We told you so!"
Read the Introduction
online
Excerpts from The
Architect of Victory
Excerpts from Managing
the Organization
Excerpts from Marketing
Endorsements
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The Way of Strategy
by William A. Levinson
Order
The Way of Strategy,
from iUniverse.com $24.95
Back cover, "The Way of Strategy"
In 1831, General Carl von Clausewitz wrote that business
is war. Like war, business is a competition between organizations. The
Way of strategy is the art and science of managing organizations in competitive
situations. People, organizations, and management systems win wars and
capture market share. In business today, the marketplace is the battlefield.
To win, people and systems must deliver quality products and services to
stay competitive. The Malcolm
Baldrige National Quality Award, ISO
9000 series of quality standards, and total quality management emphasize
the same elements of success: people, organizations, and systems. This
book unites the legacies of teachers such as Sun Tzu (The Art of War),Miyamoto
Musashi (The Book of Five Rings), Niccolò Machiavelli (The
Prince and The Art of War), Carl von Clausewitz (On War),
and others. It describes how their strategies and leadership principles
produced military victories. Modern business examples show how these timeless
principles apply to personal and organizational success. After reading
the book, you'll have a clearer understanding of how military strategy
can help you become a successful business leader, manager, and tactician.
Contents
Introduction
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People, organizations, and management systems
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Quality comes from people and systems
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Premise: Business is War
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Today's Crisis: Danger and Opportunity
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Meeting the Challenge: the Day of the Warrior
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The Way of the Warrior (Bushido, Kshatriya Dharma)
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Facing the Crisis
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About this Book
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The Keystone of Victory
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Evolution of words and ideas: Indo-European dher
("hold firmly, support") ==> dharma, affirm, throne, Darius, jemadar. Indo-European
ksei ("to rule") ==> kshatriya, Shah, satrap, Xerxes
Business, War, and Organizations
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Comparisons: polarity (win-lose), risk and uncertainty,
friction, danger and exertion, the competitive environment
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Organizations
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Organizational culture
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Practical applications of myths, legends, stories,
and parables as windows into the organization's culture
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Predictability of behavior
The Architect of Victory
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The Way of the Warrior
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The warrior as a product of a lifetime of training
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Ongoing professional development: continual improvement
(kaizen)
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The Mind of the Warrior
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personal detachment
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avoiding
the Peter Principle (the sword of the intellect). Miyamoto Musashi
anticipated the Myers-Briggs type indicators (thinking, feeling, intuition,
sensing) in 1645.
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Adapt to the situation
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Acceptance of change and new ideas
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Openmindedness, avoidance of preconceptions
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Self-reliance,
internal locus of control
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"If the god sides with the enemy, the Nabeshima vanguard
should cut him in two!" (Hagakure, "Hidden Leaves")
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Vitality
(Machiavelli's virtu)
Managing the Organization
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Commitment (mutual loyalty, psychological contract)
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Leadership
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Managing an organization is like riding a horse.
"Throw your heart over the fence, the horse will follow."
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Performance
Measurement"Be careful what you wish, you might
get it."
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The Workforce
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Motivation and Productivity: Intrinsic and extrinsic
motivation. Quality Improvement Teams
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Effect of Organizational Structure
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Mechanistic and organic systems
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Benefits of small units: agility and responsiveness
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The decision process
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Managing
Change
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Recognizing the need for change: Tarot card, the
tower struck by lightning. A frog will jump out of a pot of boiling water,
but will stay in the pot if you heat the water slowly.
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Obstacles to change
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Strategies for change
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Evaluating Culture and Morale
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Communications
Types of Work Organizations
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Comparison to military units
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Light troops: small, entrepreneureal business units
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Elite troops: skilled workers
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Artillery: automation (too much is bad, since we
pay for it whether or not we use it. Clausewitz said the same thing about
horse-drawn artillery.)
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Militia and reservists (part-time workers. We pay
them only when we use them.)
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Auxiliaries and mercenaries (external dependencies)
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Partisans and guerrillas (people who know a local
market or market segment)
The Competitive Environment
"Know the enemy and yourself, and your victory
will never be in danger. Know the ground and the weather, and your victory
is certain." (Sun Tzu)
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Marketing topography (Ground)
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Linguistic and cultural considerations
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Entry and exit barriers. Don't rely on passive market
barriers!
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Marketing environment (Weather): technological change
Marketing
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Be first on the battlefield (marketplace)
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Be where the enemy isn't (market niches, guerrilla
marketing)
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Attacking established market shares
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Avoid marketing Vietnams (mature and declining markets)
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Shorten the distribution chain. Get rid of unnecessary
middlemen.
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External relationships: customers and suppliers
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Beware of letting a supplier do for you what you
should do yourself.
The kanji (Japanese/Chinese characters) mean "Soldier"
and "Method." The images are from Jeffrey Friedl's Japanese<->English
Dictionary Server at http://www.wg.omron.co.jp:80/cgi-bin/j-e/dict(jfriedl@omron.co.jp)Jeffrey's
Japanese-English Dictionary Server
Looking Back to 1994:
Predictions from The Way of Strategy and their Outcomes
Saddam Hussein and Iraq (page
119)
"Recently, political considerations
forced General Normal Schwarzkopf to stop short of a decisive victory in
Iraq ('Hollow Victory,' U.S. News
& World Report, 1/20/92, pp. 40-44).
Another day or so would have allowed American and British forces to surround
the Republican Guard.
The Republican Guards escaped with most of their
equipment. Saddam Hussein later used them to crush Shiite and Kurdish rebels.
We have yet
to learn how much mischief will come from letting
Hussein escape total defeat."
The Obsolescence of the Car Dealer
(pp. 204-206)
Detroit should stop discharging autoworkers.
The automakers should sack their dealers.
Here is a venture for an innovative car manufacturer
that likes the Just-In-Time (JIT) philosophy. The idea is to make cars
to order instead of making inventories. The current practice is to make
cars and put them on dealer lots. The manufacturer usually floor plans
the cars. This means loaning the dealer money to carry the inventory. Interest
on the loans adds to the customer's cost. The dealer also must earn a profit
on each sale. Most of us know about some shady tactics car dealers use
to do this.
General Motors' recent problems include plant
closings and layoffs. We contend that General Motors is laying off the
wrong people. They are trying to cut costs by severing productive assets
like factories and autoworkers. They need to ask the following questions.
How much value does a car factory create for the customer? How much value
does a car dealership create for the customer? Maybe GM should lay off
its dealerships. The obvious objection is that dealers sell the cars. This
is how traditional "push" marketing works. We make a product and pay someone
to peddle it. If no one wants the product, we are out of luck. This is
why there are so many incentives and rebates at the end of a car's model
year.
Why do automakers need a showroom to sell cars?
Any reputable service station can provide the warranty service. Consider
the following arrangement. To keep the production line running, the manufacturer
makes subassemblies like engines, bodies, and transmissions. Instead of
showrooms, the manufacturer has retail outlets that take orders. Authorized
service stations could perform this function. Customers could specify their
cars on minicomputers. For example, a CD-ROM (Compact Disk, Read-Only Memory)
could contain every car, and every option. The customer also could get
descriptions of each option, and its price, from the computer. The computer
also shows each body and upholstery color. A representative would be available
to answer technical questions. When the customer finishes his or her selections,
the computer generates an order. The customer signs a contract and makes
a down payment.
Now the factory puts the subassemblies together
to make the car. The customer gets exactly the options and colors he or
she wants. The manufacturer does not have to store inventories of complete
cars. (Ideally, a steady stream of orders will keep the subassembly stocks
low.) Look at the competitive advantages the manufacturer gains.
(1) It cuts out the salesman's commission and
salary. The only sales cost is the cost of processing the order.
(2) It cuts out the expensive showroom (fixed
asset). The service station can warehouse one of each model for test drives.
Compare this to a parking lot-full of inventory.
(3) It avoids ending the model year with inventories
of cars with colors and options no one wanted. Every car that leaves the
factory has a buyer.
(4) The customer gets exactly what he or she
wants, not what the dealer wants to push off his lot.
Adopting this JIT strategy could give an automaker
a decisive advantage over its competitors. By selling directly to the customer,
the manufacturer can offer a lower price and earn a larger gross margin.
This money doesn't come from nowhere. It was the middleman's share. General
Motors, Ford, and Chrysler should pay attention and consider the following
line from the musical comedy Pippin. [King Charlemagne, discussing war
plans] "[If the plan works] We won't have just a victory, we'll have ourselves
a massacre." [Hirson, 1975]
Levinson (ed.), Leading
the Way to Competitive Excellence: The Harris Mountaintop Case Study
(1998, ASQC Quality Press), page 296
"Car salespeople had better start
looking for real jobs. There are already online car brokers that cut the
salesperson out of the loop. One buyer saved $4000 off the list price by
using Auto-by-Tel (http://www.autobytel.com)
(Weiner, 1996). Levinson (1994c, 204-206) recommends just-in-time factory
ordering, without a car dealer as intermediary. The author stands by this
prediction."
Update, 11/11/98: H. William Dettmer, Breaking
the Constraints to World-Class Performance (1998, ASQ Quality Press),
page 42
(Regarding General Motors' "build to order" strategy
for Cadillacs): "The expectation is that most, if not all, cars eventually
will be built to order, rather than to a sales forecast. In other words,
big year-end unsold inventories would become a thing of the past, and dealers
wouldn't have to maintain large on-site inventories. The final result could
be a complete conversion of automobile production to a pull system, which
could yield savings of up to 20 percent in the cost of providing GM cars
to the market."
Update, 12/07/99: Holstein, William J. "Kicking a
Virtual Tire," U.S. News and World Report, October 25, 1999
"Ford CEO Jacques Nasser, in linking up with Carpoint,
argued that changes triggered by the online world could alter the way his
company makes cars. In his vision, a consumer should be able to go online
and configure a car just the way he or she wants it... That information
should go to the factory and even to suppliers, like the companies that
make brakes or seats. Nasser foresees huge savings because Ford wouldn't
have to build inventory that sits on dealers' lots. It would build only
cars individual customers want, the same way Dell and Gateway now make
PCs."
At this point, who needs the car dealer's showroom
or sales personnel?
The One-Second Television Ad
The one-second television ad
we are now seeing right before the television program resumes (and
possibly one second after it ends) are an opportunity for us to say, "We told you so." The following is directly from the original manuscript of Levinson (1994), The Way of Strategy.
The TV remote control has changed the effectiveness of
television advertising. (This is an example of the impact of changing
technology on business.) We must seriously consider buying only ad slots that
immediately follow or precede the program. Our ad must be either first or last
in the series. The first slot is probably better. We assume no one is watching
the ones in between. When the first ad appears, they reach for the remote
control. When they think the program is ready to return, they switch back. They
are likely to see part of the last ad, but we can't count on this. The message,
"Our show will return in a few minutes---" is the kiss of death for
the next ad. ZAP! goes the remote control.
We have a couple of seconds from when the program stops to
when the viewer pushes the button. Get the brand name on the screen
immediately. Now, even if they "zap" it, we at least have name
recognition. Make the first few seconds interesting and fun, and they may watch
the rest. We want no more than 15 seconds unless we're sure they'll watch the
whole ad.
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